Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.202108 0.240108 0.282714 0.333942 0.393780 0.461380 0.543451
2025-05-04 0.151278 0.201676 0.264387 0.347790 0.455408 0.589154 0.767496
2025-05-11 0.116740 0.169871 0.241382 0.343921 0.486299 0.675982 0.946610
2025-05-18 0.091190 0.142912 0.217285 0.330844 0.498390 0.734693 1.090917
2025-05-25 0.072096 0.120741 0.194930 0.314671 0.500987 0.777119 1.213667
2025-06-01 0.062515 0.110980 0.188796 0.320595 0.535299 0.867312 1.413928
2025-06-08 0.051749 0.097173 0.173794 0.309669 0.540840 0.912907 1.549193
2025-06-15 0.046146 0.091126 0.170411 0.316866 0.575780 1.007397 1.770456
2025-06-22 0.040766 0.084487 0.164864 0.319210 0.602157 1.089701 1.978911
2025-06-29 0.035395 0.076901 0.156399 0.314900 0.615810 1.151021 2.156678
2025-07-06 0.030944 0.070354 0.148854 0.311079 0.629451 1.212956 2.340527
2025-07-13 0.028840 0.068301 0.149715 0.323423 0.674529 1.335317 2.644180
2025-07-20 0.028125 0.069351 0.157405 0.351272 0.754580 1.533480 3.113775
2025-07-27 0.026078 0.067105 0.157986 0.364766 0.808070 1.687518 3.516761
2025-08-03 0.022912 0.061648 0.150780 0.360631 0.824734 1.771280 3.791046
2025-08-10 0.019549 0.055053 0.139974 0.346950 0.819293 1.809809 3.978200
2025-08-17 0.016495 0.048627 0.128513 0.330039 0.804460 1.827003 4.122564
2025-08-24 0.015156 0.046483 0.127005 0.336233 0.842050 1.958035 4.517507
2025-08-31 0.013089 0.041912 0.118728 0.324807 0.837476 1.997300 4.718882
2025-09-07 0.012157 0.040411 0.118099 0.332334 0.878529 2.140974 5.161702
2025-09-14 0.011104 0.038340 0.115635 0.334785 0.907471 2.259892 5.559647
2025-09-21 0.009902 0.035562 0.110797 0.330278 0.918502 2.338412 5.872304
2025-09-28 0.008860 0.033075 0.106381 0.326282 0.930310 2.419740 6.198633